According to Khabaronline news agency, with the continuation of inflationary pressure, the main challenge for investors is not just choosing a high-yield market; Rather, it is how to arrange assets to reduce risk and preserve capital value. Financial markets expert Barzo Haqhosin believes that, considering the outlook of the global ounce of gold, the dollar is the priority for investment until the end of the year.
In a situation where the prospects of inflation and political developments are still uncertain, choosing the right market for investment has become one of the main concerns of capital owners. In such an environment, maintaining the value of assets and managing risk becomes more important, and diversifying the portfolio can be one of the solutions for investors.
However, the combination of assets and the share of each market in the investment portfolio depends on factors such as the time horizon, the need for liquidity and the level of risk tolerance of individuals. On the other hand, the direction of currency and gold markets is also affected by variables such as inflation, political developments and the outlook of world markets.
When there is rising inflation, having a diversified portfolio of different markets can help buffer the effect of inflation on assets.
In this regard, Barzo Haqson, expert and analyst of financial markets, referring to the high political risks, told Tejarat News: “In the current situation, it is not possible to consider a specific market for investment; When there is increasing inflation and this inflation severely weakens the value of the rial, having a diversified portfolio of different markets can help curb the effect of inflation on assets and make the investor less damaged by the growth of inflation.”
People who accept higher risk can have stocks in their portfolio and choose gold and dollar to hedge the risk.
Haqshanas added: “The prioritization of assets depends on people and their level of risk-taking, and each person should decide which market to put more in their portfolio according to their investment personality.” According to him, people who accept higher risk can have stocks in their portfolio and choose assets such as gold and dollar to cover their asset risk.
When there is no positive outlook for reducing inflation, all markets have positive returns
“People who are more risk-averse can consider gold as a dominant asset and have some stocks on the side,” noted the financial markets expert. Emphasizing that choosing the combination of assets depends on each person’s personality and that a single version cannot be provided for all investors, he said: “When inflation is at a level where it is expected to increase and there is no positive outlook for reducing inflation, assets in all markets can be profitable.”
Investing in dollars is preferable to gold until the end of the year
Referring to the convergence of the dollar and gold prices, Haqshanas said: “The growth of these two markets is usually accompanied by each other, and at some points, the increase or decrease in gold yield is related to the drastic drop in the global price of an ounce.” For this reason, the dollar and gold can be considered a market to a large extent; “However, if one of these two markets is to be chosen in the current situation, the dollar is preferable to gold until the end of the year.”
The outlook for the global ounce of gold is not very attractive and at least we can expect the price of an ounce of gold to remain in the current range.
He added: “The outlook for the global ounce of gold is not very attractive, and at least we can expect the price of an ounce of gold to remain in the current range. It should be kept in mind that the future of the world ounce of gold depends on the policies of the Federal Reserve and risks such as war.
The dollar price does not fall below the range of 220 to 230 thousand tomans
Referring to the possibility of reducing inflationary expectations in the event of a comprehensive agreement between Iran and the United States, this financial market analyst said: “The price of the dollar will also be corrected under the influence of this agreement; But it should be considered that the drop in the price of the dollar will not be deep, and it is impossible to imagine the price of the dollar to be lower than the range of 220 to 230 thousand tomans under any circumstances.”
Persistence of the dollar price in the lower ranges depends on the possible agreement
Haqshanas emphasized: “The permanence of the dollar price in the lower ranges depends on the possible agreement; including the level and size of the agreement and whether the entry conditions for foreign investors will be eased or not.”
Military conflict temporarily strengthens ï·¼
Emphasizing that if there is a military conflict, the price of the dollar will decrease, Haqshana said: “Military conflict and systematic risk escalation can temporarily strengthen the national currency.”
According to Haqshanas, people who have assets such as currency and gold, may offer a part of these assets to cover their expenses. On the other hand, in war conditions, the demand for dollars and gold also decreases, and these factors can increase the demand for rials and lead to a drop in the price of currency and gold.
Political uncertainty increases the price of the dollar
Regarding the continuation of the conditions of neither war nor peace, this financial market expert said: “If the current conditions continue, the price of the dollar will rise sharply; But if inflationary expectations decrease, the price of the dollar can be corrected according to the type of agreement.
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