According to Khabaronline news agency, Ahmad Bakshaish, the representative of Ardestan and Zavareh in the Islamic Council, in a simultaneous evaluation The recent instructions of the leader of the revolution to the secretary of the Supreme National Security Council In order to follow the end of the war and peace situation until the fulfillment of Iran’s conditions and to emphasize the response to the threats of the enemy without geographical restrictions by the senior military commanders, he stated: It seems that the situation of neither war nor peace nor war nor negotiation has turned into a tangle of confusion that no one is satisfied with.
According to Isna’s report, he further stated: It is not desirable for Iran to go to war with America, nor to have the possibility of negotiation and agreement, and at the same time, the soul and spirit of the Iranian people will be put under pressure with the sea, air and land blockade, economic pressures and psychological propaganda.
This member of the Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission stated that the leader of the revolution has specified the responsibilities and the decision-making path in this situation and clarified: The Supreme National Security Council is actually the crossroads of the country’s planning, and in war conditions, the responsibility of coordination between diplomacy and the field rests with this council.
Changing Iran’s military approach from mere defense to preemptive response
Bakshaish continued: On the other hand, the leader of the revolution has also emphasized to the military commanders to change the war approach to some extent and move from a purely defensive situation to being prepared for preemptive action. In other words, if serious signs of America’s will to attack Iran are observed, an effective response should be given before the attack becomes operational.
Stating that this answer can be at the regional and extra-regional level, he added: Any point that the Americans use to act against Iran can be included in the country’s defense and military calculations.
Pointing out that such an approach can help to resolve the current situation, this member of parliament said: In the end, we either have to go to war with America or reach an agreement in which Iran’s interests and conditions are secured.
Iran’s conditions must be implemented before the start of negotiations
Referring to the experience of the JCPOA agreement and the Islamabad understanding, Bakshaish said: In the past, Iran’s concessions were mainly given in cash, but the other side was supposed to implement its commitments in the future. In the JCPOA, Iran also gave concessions, but on the other hand, as expected, it did not enjoy the benefits of the agreement.
He added: In the Islamabad agreement, issues were raised that were supposed to be realized in the future, but this experience showed that one cannot rely solely on the promises of the other side.
This member of the Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission stated that in the new mechanism, the implementation of Iran’s conditions should be foreseen in the text of the agreement, and stated: The proposal is that the Americans first accept Iran’s seven conditions and implement them for a period of seven days, and after that, negotiations on the management and arrangements related to the Strait of Hormuz and also the nuclear issue will begin.
Bakshaish continued: The mediators had suggested that the period of implementation of the conditions be reduced from seven days to two days, which seems that Iran has also agreed to this issue. Therefore, the basis should be to first implement Iran’s conditions in a practical way and then enter the negotiation stage.
War is possible, but war is also costly for America
Referring to the American military movements in the region, he said: The fact that the United States has brought this amount of weapons, destroyers, aircraft carriers and refueling planes to the region cannot be merely a show of power. They want to bring Iran to the negotiating table with military threats, and if Iran does not accept, they may launch a high-intensity and limited-duration attack.
Recalling the Leader of the Revolution’s emphasis that the war may start with the other side, but Iran will determine its end, this member of parliament said: “For this reason, there is a possibility of war, but war is not certain.” Because the Americans also have the experience of confronting Iran and know that a military attack does not necessarily lead to their desired goals.
Referring to the recent wars against Iran, Bakshaish added: America has entered into conflict with Iran in several stages, but it has not been able to overthrow the Islamic Republic of Iran. If it attacks many times, it may cause damage to the people and the country, but this does not mean the destruction of Iran and the Islamic Republic of Iran. Therefore, Americans should come to the conclusion that instead of repeating the failed experiences of the past, they should reach a solution through understanding.
He also said about the role of mediators in this process: countries like Qatar, Turkey, and Pakistan can play a role in the mediation process, and even China and Russia may enter this process to ensure the implementation of the agreement.
The meetings of the leader of the revolution have a clear message for the other side
This member of the Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, in response to the question of what message the timing of the recent meetings of the Revolutionary Leader with the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council and senior military commanders has for the other side, stated: One of the messages of these meetings is that the news related to the meetings of the Revolutionary Leader has increased to make it clear that he is in perfect health and pursuing his responsibilities.
He further stated: The leader of the revolution has met with various officials, including the head of the judiciary, the speaker of the parliament, the secretary of the Supreme National Security Council and senior commanders, and publishing the news of these meetings conveys the message that, contrary to what the enemy thought, the country did not collapse due to the martyrdom of the martyred leader, and the country’s system and structures are still standing.
Bakshaish stated that the enemy thought that with the martyrdom of the martyred leader, Iran would suffer the same fate as Venezuela, but he observed that even with the martyrdom of the leader of the revolution, the country continues on its path and the structure of the system remains.
He added: On the other hand, due to the possibility of war, the leader of the revolution has communicated general orders to the Supreme National Security Council and the secretary of this council, and they have also emphasized to the military commanders that in the event of a war and communication being cut off, the commanders of the regions can carry out their missions independently and have specific targets at their disposal.
Iran’s deterrence must be strengthened
In response to the question of what kind of guarantee should be considered in order to prevent the repetition of past unsuccessful experiences in a possible agreement, considering the experience of violation of American commitments, this member of parliament said: The first issue is the strengthening of Iran; Because when the country has enough power, the other side will understand Iran’s deterrence.
Bakhshaish expressed his views on nuclear deterrence and stated: From my point of view, Iran’s deterrence in the current situation is provided by having nuclear weapons. Even in the statements of some American and Israeli officials, the issue has been raised that Iran should not move towards nuclear weapons. The nuclear industry is endemic in Iran, and people want the country to have strong deterrence, considering the repeated threats against Iran’s existence and historical identity.
Referring to Donald Trump’s statements about North Korea, he added: This shows that having the power of deterrence can change the other side’s calculations. Despite taking action against the martyred leader, Israel witnessed that Iran did not withdraw from the nuclear non-proliferation treaty.
This member of the Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission emphasized: The first issue is for Iran to resist America and not allow this country to achieve its goals of weakening and destroying Iran, so that other countries will not be greedy for Iran in the future.
In case of war, Iran’s response must be decisive from the beginning
Referring to the necessity of changing the other party’s military calculations, Bakshaish said: The second point is that if a war is going to happen, Iran’s response must be decisive and with high intensity from the beginning. This means that we should not allow the other side to gradually increase the level of conflict and we should respond accordingly to his actions.
He added: In such a situation, Iran’s initial response should be effective enough to change the other side’s calculations and then manage the level of conflict according to the conditions.
In the end, this member of parliament emphasized the necessity of predicting executive guarantees in any possible agreement with the US and stated: If there is to be a negotiation and an agreement, Iran’s conditions and how they should be objectively fulfilled must be included in the text of the agreement; This means that the other side should first implement its concessions and commitments in a practical way, and then Iran should fulfill its commitments, instead of giving concessions first, as Iran did in the past, and the implementation of the commitments of the other side would be postponed to the future.
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